If there is NO cold threat:

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If there is a cold threat:
- Check the nearest
10-day Detailed Forecast.
For more information about how to use the variables in this forecast
check the fact sheets. We have
fact sheets on inversions,
dewpoints and wet
bulb temperature.
- The 10-day forecast
can be fine tuned by adjusting the temperature in the 10-day forecast
with the AWIS 7-Day Hourly Temperature
Forecasts. These are more site specific.
- Check the Duration
Forecast as this can also impact the effectiveness of cold protection
methods.
- If the 10-day detailed hourly
forecast indicates clear skies and light winds (a radiational freeze),
check the minimum temperature in the Wallis-Georg
Regression Model Minimum Temperature Forecasts. These minimum temperatures
tend to be a little cooler and may be more accurate during a radiational
freeze. The Wallis-Georg model is available only in Florida, so if you
are looking at other locations, keep in mind temperatures may be cooler
than expected.
- Don't forget to
monitor the progress of the cold event. Check Real
Time Weather Monitoring. These maps are updated hourly. Keep an
eye on your own equipment. It is very difficult to accurately predict
the timing of a cold event. Minimum temperatures may come sooner than
forecast, extending the duration of the event.
- After the event
you can see what happened to the area by checking the Temperature
Verification. All of these weather observations are from weather
stations that are maintained and operated by the NWS, FAA, USDA and the military.
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